Fed Funds Probabilities

# Rate cuts of -25bps - Target @ 0.25% after Emergency Cuts

...............................Mar20..........Jun20........Sep20.......Dec20

Week of 03/02 ......... 1.38 ......... 2.64.......... 3.19...........3.36
Week of 03/09 ......... 2.29 ......... 3.40.......... 3.72...........3.75 implied rate= 0.182%
Week of 03/16 ......... 0.00 ......... 0.09.......... 0.15...........0.11 implied rate= 0.086%

No further rate cuts are expected in the market




Relative Strength Index

Below is the daily 10-year Treasury relative strength index over the last 14 trading days. A reading of 65 is considered an oversold market; a reading of 35 is an overbought market.





07/09 - 44.8 / 0.652%
07/08 - 46.5 / 0.665%
07/07 - 42.8 / 0.641%
07/06 - 47.4 / 0.678%
07/02 - 46.3 / 0.670%
07/01 - 47.0 / 0.677%
06/30 - 44.4 / 0.657%
06/29 - 39.9 / 0.624%
06/26 - 41.6 / 0.642%
06/25 - 46.2 / 0.686%
06/24 - 45.4 / 0.680%
06/23 - 49.0 / 0.713%
06/22 - 48.6 / 0.709%
06/19 - 47.0 / 0.695%
06/18 - 48.4 / 0.709%
06/17 - 51.2 / 0.739%
06/16 - 52.7 / 0.754%
06/15 - 49.9 / 0.722%
06/12 - 48.3 / 0.705%
06/11 - 45.2 / 0.671%
06/10 - 49.9 / 0.728%
06/09 - 59.7 / 0.826%
06/08 - 65.9 / 0.876%
06/05 - 68.5 / 0.896%
06/04 - 63.8 / 0.825%
06/03 - 57.2 / 0.747%
06/02 - 50.6 / 0.686%
06/01 - 47.4 / 0.660%
05/29 - 46.6 / 0.653%
05/28 - 50.9 / 0.692%
05/27 - 49.9 / 0.683%
05/26 - 51.5 / 0.698%
05/22 - 47.5 / 0.660%
05/21 - 48.7 / 0.673%
05/20 - 49.5 / 0.681%
05/19 - 50.8 / 0.696%
05/18 - 53.7 / 0.727%
05/15 - 46.3 / 0.644%
05/14 - 44.1 / 0.623%
05/13 - 46.6 / 0.653%
05/12 - 47.6 / 0.666%
05/11 - 51.3 / 0.711%
05/08 - 49.2 / 0.685%
05/07 - 45.5 / 0.642%
05/06 - 50.4 / 0.704%
05/05 - 46.9 / 0.663%
05/04 - 44.5 / 0.636%
05/01 - 42.5 / 0.614%
04/30 - 44.2 / 0.640%
04/29 - 43.3 / 0.628%
04/28 - 42.1 / 0.614%
04/27 - 44.9 / 0.661%
04/24 - 40.4 / 0.602%
04/23 - 40.4 / 0.603%
04/22 - 41.3 / 0.621%
04/21 - 37.7 / 0.571%
04/20 - 39.3 / 0.607%
04/17 - 40.9 / 0.643%
04/16 - 40.0 / 0.628%
04/15 - 40.2 / 0.632%
04/14 - 45.2 / 0.754%
04/13 - 46.1 / 0.774%
04/09 - 43.4 / 0.721%
04/08 - 45.5 / 0.773%
04/07 - 42.6 / 0.714%
04/06 - 40.4 / 0.672%
04/03 - 36.5 / 0.597%
04/02 - 36.6 / 0.599%
04/01 - 35.9 / 0.584%
03/31 - 38.2 / 0.670%
03/30 - 39.8 / 0.729%
03/27 - 37.7 / 0.679%
03/26 - 42.4 / 0.849%
03/25 - 42.8 / 0.87%
03/24 - 42.2 / 0.85%
03/23 - 40.1 / 0.80%
03/20 - 41.5 / 0.85%
03/19 - 49.8 / 1.14%
03/18 - 51.4 / 1.20%
03/17 - 47.9 / 1.08%
03/16 - 33.6 / 0.72%
03/13 - 40.6 / 0.96%
03/12 - 32.3 / 0.81%
03/11 - 34.0 / 0.87%
03/10 - 30.2 / 0.81%
03/09 - 11.5 / 0.54%
03/06 - 14.6 / 0.76%
03/05 - 17.5 / 0.91%
03/04 - 21.2 / 1.05%
03/03 - 15.0 / 1.00%
03/02 - 19.4 / 1.17%
02/28 - 17.4 / 1.15%
02/27 - 21.2 / 1.26%
02/26 - 24.6 / 1.34%
02/25 - 25.4 / 1.35%
02/24 - 26.3 / 1.37%
02/21 - 32.2 / 1.47%
02/20 - 35.4 / 1.52%
02/19 - 39.7 / 1.57%
02/18 - 38.9 / 1.56%
02/14 - 41.0 / 1.59%
02/13 - 43.8 / 1.62%
02/12 - 45.2 / 1.63%
02/11 - 41.6 / 1.60%
02/10 - 37.9 / 1.57%
02/07 - 38.9 / 1.58%
02/06 - 43.6 / 1.64%
02/05 - 44.2 / 1.65%
02/04 - 38.6 / 1.60%
02/03 - 29.5 / 1.53%
01/31 - 26.6 / 1.51%
01/30 - 31.2 / 1.59%
01/29 - 31.0 / 1.59%
01/28 - 35.8 / 1.66%
01/27 - 28.9 / 1.61%
01/24 - 37.0 / 1.72%
01/23 - 38.6 / 1.73%
01/22 - 42.3 / 1.77%
01/21 - 42.9 / 1.78%
01/17 - 48.0 / 1.82%
01/16 - 46.2 / 1.81%
01/15 - 43.1 / 1.78%
01/14 - 45.9 / 1.81%
01/13 - 49.8 / 1.85%
01/10 - 46.8 / 1.82%
01/09 - 50.7 / 1.86%
01/08 - 52.8 / 1.88%
01/07 - 46.5 / 1.82%
01/06 - 45.3 / 1.81%
01/03 - 42.7 / 1.79%
01/02 - 52.5 / 1.88%
12/31 - 58.2 / 1.92%
12/30 - 53.7 / 1.88%
12/27 - 53.4 / 1.88%
12/26 - 55.8 / 1.90%
12/24 - 56.5 / 1.90%
12/23 - 60.4 / 1.93%
12/20 - 59.3 / 1.92%
12/19 - 59.7 / 1.92%
12/18 - 59.4 / 1.92%
12/17 - 56.6 / 1.88%
12/16 - 55.9 / 1.87%
12/13 - 52.0 / 1.82%
12/12 - 58.9 / 1.89%
12/11 - 50.1 / 1.79%
12/10 - 55.5 / 1.84%
12/09 - 53.4 / 1.82%
12/06 - 55.4 / 1.84%
12/05 - 53.0 / 1.81%
12/04 - 49.5 / 1.78%
12/03 - 43.2 / 1.72%
12/02 - 54.3 / 1.82%
11/29 - 49.2 / 1.78%
11/27 - 48.0 / 1.77%
11/26 - 45.0 / 1.74%
11/25 - 46.4 / 1.76%
11/22 - 47.9 / 1.77%
11/21 - 48.2 / 1.77%
11/20 - 45.3 / 1.75%
11/19 - 48.8 / 1.78%
11/18 - 51.9 / 1.82%
11/15 - 53.4 / 1.83%
11/14 - 52.4 / 1.82%
11/13 - 59.0 / 1.89%
11/12 - 64.4 / 1.94%
11/08 - 65.3 / 1.94%
11/07 - 63.8 / 1.92%
11/06 - 57.7 / 1.83%
11/05 - 60.9 / 1.86%
11/04 - 54.6 / 1.78%
11/01 - 48.3 / 1.71%
10/31 - 46.2 / 1.69%
10/30 - 54.5 / 1.77%
10/29 - 63.2 / 1.84%
10/28 - 63.7 / 1.84%
10/25 - 59.8 / 1.80%
10/24 - 57.1 / 1.77%
10/23 - 57.0 / 1.77%
10/22 - 56.7 / 1.76%
10/21 - 61.1 / 1.80%
10/18 - 57.5 / 1.76%
10/17 - 57.3 / 1.75%
10/16 - 56.4 / 1.74%
10/15 - 59.5 / 1.77%
10/11 - 56.6 / 1.73%
10/10 - 51.9 / 1.67%
10/09 - 43.9 / 1.59%
10/08 - 37.8 / 1.53%
10/07 - 40.0 / 1.56%
10/04 - 36.5 / 1.53%
10/03 - 36.9 / 1.54%
10/02 - 41.4 / 1.60%
10/01 - 44.2 / 1.64%
09/30 - 46.6 / 1.67%
09/27 - 47.9 / 1.68%
09/26 - 48.8 / 1.69%
09/25 - 52.4 / 1.74%
09/24 - 44.6 / 1.65%
09/23 - 51.5 / 1.73%
09/20 - 51.2 / 1.28%
09/19 - 57.1 / 1.79%
09/18 - 58.3 / 1.80%
09/17 - 58.8 / 1.80%
09/16 - 63.1 / 1.85%
09/13 - 68.2 / 1.90%
09/12 - 60.7 / 1.77%
09/11 - 58.4 / 1.74%
09/10 - 57.8 / 1.73%
09/09 - 50.8 / 1.65%
09/06 - 42.4 / 1.56%
09/05 - 42.2 / 1.56%
09/04 - 30.9 / 1.47%
09/03 - 29.6 / 1.46%
08/30 - 32.0 / 1.50%
08/29 - 31.8 / 1.50%
08/28 - 29.9 / 1.48%
08/27 - 28.9 / 1.47%
08/26 - 32.1 / 1.54%
08/23 - 32.1 / 1.54%
08/22 - 36.4 / 1.62%
08/21 - 33.8 / 1.59%
08/20 - 30.2 / 1.56%
08/19 - 32.7 / 1.61%
08/16 - 27.0 / 1.56%
08/15 - 24.0 / 1.53%
08/14 - 25.9 / 1.58%
08/13 - 31.8 / 1.71%
08/12 - 24.3 / 1.65%
08/09 - 29.3 / 1.75%
08/08 - 25.4 / 1.72%
08/07 - 26.2 / 1.74%
08/06 - 21.8 / 1.70%
08/05 - 22.0 / 1.71%
08/02 - 28.6 / 1.85%
08/01 - 31.6 / 1.89%
07/31 - 42.1 / 2.02%
07/30 - 47.5 / 2.06%
07/29 - 48.4 / 2.07%
07/26 - 49.0 / 2.07%
07/25 - 50.3 / 2.08%
07/24 - 45.7 / 2.05%
07/23 - 50.0 / 2.08%
07/22 - 45.6 / 2.05%
07/19 - 46.6 / 2.06%
07/18 - 43.6 / 2.03%
07/17 - 44.6 / 2.05%
07/16 - 51.1 / 2.10%
07/15 - 49.4 / 2.09%
07/12 - 53.4 / 2.12%
07/11 - 55.4 / 2.14%
07/10 - 46.6 / 2.06%
07/09 - 46.9 / 2.07%
07/08 - 44.8 / 2.05%
07/05 - 43.1 / 2.04%
07/03 - 31.1 / 1.95%
07/02 - 33.0 / 1.98%
07/01 - 37.3 / 2.03%
06/28 - 34.2 / 2.01%
06/27 - 34.9 / 2.02%
06/26 - 37.7 / 2.05%
06/25 - 27.7 / 1.99%
06/24 - 29.8 / 2.02%
06/21 - 33.0 / 2.06%
06/20 - 28.3 / 2.03%
06/19 - 27.4 / 2.02%
06/18 - 29.9 / 2.06%
06/17 - 32.6 / 2.10%
06/14 - 30.3 / 2.08%
06/13 - 31.3 / 2.10%
06/12 - 33.2 / 2.12%
06/11 - 34.9 / 2.14%
06/10 - 35.3 / 2.15%
06/07 - 25.4 / 2.08%
06/06 - 27.4 / 2.12%
06/05 - 28.5 / 2.14%
06/04 - 27.7 / 2.13%
06/03 - 18.5 / 2.07%
05/31 - 20.8 / 2.13%
05/30 - 25.5 / 2.21%
05/29 - 28.9 / 2.26%
05/28 - 29.2 / 2.27%
05/24 - 33.5 / 2.32%
05/23 - 33.2 / 2.32%
05/22 - 39.0 / 2.38%
05/21 - 44.0 / 2.43%
05/20 - 42.4 / 2.42%
05/17 - 38.4 / 2.39%
05/16 - 38.8 / 2.40%
05/15 - 35.5 / 2.37%
05/14 - 38.9 / 2.41%
05/13 - 37.6 / 2.40%
05/10 - 44.1 / 2.47%
05/09 - 40.6 / 2.44%
05/08 - 41.0 / 2.46%
05/06 - 42.4 / 2.47%
05/03 - 48.8 / 2.53%
05/02 - 50.9 / 2.54%
05/01 - 45.4 / 2.50%
04/30 - 45.6 / 2.50%
04/29 - 48.3 / 2.53%
04/26 - 44.8 / 2.50%
04/25 - 48.6 / 2.53%
04/24 - 46.8 / 2.52%
04/23 - 52.3 / 2.57%
04/22 - 55.3 / 2.59%
04/18 - 52.3 / 2.56%
04/17 - 56.5 / 2.60%
04/16 - 56.2 / 2.59%
04/15 - 52.5 / 2.56%
04/12 - 53.8 / 2.57%
04/11 - 46.4 / 2.50%
04/10 - 42.5 / 2.47%
04/09 - 46.0 / 2.50%
04/08 - 48.2 / 2.52%
04/05 - 45.1 / 2.50%
04/04 - 47.0 / 2.52%
04/03 - 47.9 / 2.53%
04/02 - 42.4 / 2.48%
04/01 - 44.7 / 2.50%
03/29 - 32.2 / 2.41%
03/28 - 30.8 / 2.40%
03/27 - 26.4 / 2.37%
03/26 - 29.9 / 2.42%
03/25 - 26.1 / 2.40%
03/22 - 28.5 / 2.44%
03/21 - 36.1 / 2.54%
03/20 - 34.2 / 2.53%
03/19 - 43.1 / 2.61%
03/18 - 41.8 / 2.61%
03/15 - 39.2 / 2.59%
03/14 - 44.0 / 2.63%
03/13 - 42.6 / 2.62%
03/12 - 39.5 / 2.60%
03/11 - 43.7 / 2.64%
03/08 - 42.2 / 2.63%
03/07 - 43.2 / 2.64%
03/06 - 49.5 / 2.69%
03/05 - 52.8 / 2.72%
03/04 - 53.4 / 2.72%
03/01 - 57.6 / 2.76%
02/28 - 53.4 / 2.72%
02/27 - 49.4 / 2.68%
02/26 - 43.1 / 2.64%
02/25 - 46.2 / 2.66%
02/22 - 44.8 / 2.65%
02/21 - 49.5 / 2.69%
02/20 - 42.8 / 2.65%
02/19 - 41.2 / 2.64%
02/15 - 44.3 / 2.66%
02/14 - 43.1 / 2.66%
02/13 - 48.5 / 2.70%
02/12 - 46.7 / 2.69%
02/11 - 42.1 / 2.66%
02/08 - 39.4 / 2.64%
02/07 - 41.5 / 2.66%
02/06 - 45.3 / 2.70%
02/05 - 45.7 / 2.70%
02/04 - 48.3 / 2.72%
02/01 - 43.7 / 2.69%
01/31 - 36.3 / 2.63%
01/30 - 40.6 / 2.68%
01/29 - 43.9 / 2.71%
01/28 - 47.8 / 2.75%
01/25 - 49.3 / 2.76%
01/24 - 44.0 / 2.72%
01/23 - 46.7 / 2.74%
01/22 - 46.4 / 2.74%
01/18 - 51.3 / 2.79%
01/17 - 47.5 / 2.75%
01/16 - 44.0 / 2.72%
01/15 - 42.8 / 2.71%
01/14 - 41.7 / 2.70%
01/11 - 41.5 / 2.70%
01/10 - 44.8 / 2.74%
01/09 - 44.4 / 2.75%
01/08 - 42.8 / 2.73%
01/07 - 39.5 / 2.70%
01/04 - 36.5 / 2.67%
01/03 - 21.8 / 2.55%
01/02 - 25.0 / 2.62%
12/31 - 28.6 / 2.69%
12/28 - 30.8 / 2.72%
12/27 - 34.3 / 2.76%
12/26 - 37.7 / 2.81%
12/24 - 26.4 / 2.74%
12/21 - 30.3 / 2.79%
12/20 - 31.5 / 2.81%
12/19 - 21.3 / 2.76%
12/18 - 26.6 / 2.83%
12/17 - 29.0 / 2.86%
12/14 - 32.5 / 2.89%
12/13 - 35.1 / 2.91%
12/12 - 34.3 / 2.91%
12/11 - 27.5 / 2.88%
12/10 - 22.4 / 2.86%
12/07 - 19.3 / 2.85%
12/06 - 22.7 / 2.90%
12/05 - 24.1 / 2.91%
12/04 - 24.1 / 2.91%
12/03 - 29.1 / 2.97%
11/30 - 31.0 / 2.99%
11/29 - 36.2 / 3.03%
11/28 - 40.4 / 3.06%
11/27 - 40.0 / 3.06%
11/26 - 39.2 / 3.05%
11/23 - 36.3 / 3.04%
11/21 - 39.2 / 3.06%
11/20 - 39.2 / 3.06%
11/19 - 39.2 / 3.06%
11/16 - 41.4 / 3.06%
11/15 - 44.7 / 3.11%
11/14 - 46.6 / 3.13%
11/13 - 48.5 / 3.14%
11/09 - 54.4 / 3.18%
11/08 - 63.9 / 3.24%
11/07 - 63.7 / 3.24%
11/06 - 62.9 / 3.23%
11/05 - 60.2 / 3.20%
11/02 - 62.0 / 3.21%
11/01 - 52.3 / 3.13%



Highs & Lows
03/27/19 - 26.4 / 2.37%
12/07/18 - 19.4 / 2.85%
11/08/18 - 63.9 / 3.24%
08/01/18 - 65.1 / 3.01%
02/21/18 - 69.7 / 2.95%
02/02/18 - 77.6 / 2.84%
10/26/17 - 68.6 / 2.46%
06/02/17 - 33.6 / 2.16%
11/18/16 - 82.4 / 2.36%
07/06/16 - 30.3 / 1.37%
02/11/16 - 21.9 / 1.66%
11/10/15 - 69.7 / 2.34%
08/24/15 - 33.6 / 2.00%
06/10/15 - 68.0 / 2.49%
05/06/15 - 73.4 / 2.24%
01/30/15 - 31.1 / 1.64%
10/15/14 - 22.7 / 2.14%
09/12/14 - 69.7 / 2.61%
05/28/14 - 32.8 / 2.44%
02/03/14 - 29.5 / 2.58%
12/31/13 - 67.8 / 3.03%
09/05/13 - 69.0 / 3.00%
06/24/13 - 79.1 / 2.59%
05/28/13 - 72.7 / 2.17%
05/02/13 - 31.7 / 1.63%
03/11/13 - 64.0 / 2.06%
08/16/12 - 71.0 / 1.81%
07/24/12 - 32.5 / 1.39%
06/01/12 - 20.5 / 1.45%
05/17/12 - 25.4 / 1.70%
03/19/12 - 76.5 / 2.38%



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