Fed Funds Probabilities

# Rate cuts of -25bps - Target @ 0.25% after Emergency Cuts

...............................Mar20..........Jun20........Sep20.......Dec20

Week of 03/02 ......... 1.38 ......... 2.64.......... 3.19...........3.36
Week of 03/09 ......... 2.29 ......... 3.40.......... 3.72...........3.75 implied rate= 0.182%
Week of 03/16 ......... 0.00 ......... 0.09.......... 0.15...........0.11 implied rate= 0.086%

No further rate cuts are expected in the market

Relative Strength Index

Below is the daily 10-year Treasury relative strength index over the last 14 trading days. A reading of 65 or higher is considered an oversold market and a buying opportunity; a reading of 35 is an overbought market.





06/11 - 36.1 / 1.459%
06/10 - 32.0 / 1.434%
06/09 - 37.0 / 1.492%
06/08 - 41.4 / 1.536%
06/07 - 45.4 / 1.570%
06/04 - 43.2 / 1.555%
06/03 - 52.6 / 1.627%
06/02 - 46.9 / 1.588%
06/01 - 49.6 / 1.607%
05/28 - 47.9 / 1.596%
05/27 - 49.7 / 1.609%
05/26 - 45.1 / 1.577%
05/25 - 42.4 / 1.560%
05/24 - 47.8 / 1.603%
05/21 - 50.5 / 1.622%
05/20 - 51.1 / 1.627%
05/19 - 58.1 / 1.674%
05/18 - 53.7 / 1.639%
05/17 - 55.6 / 1.651%
05/14 - 53.0 / 1.630%
05/13 - 57.2 / 1.658%
05/12 - 63.2 / 1.694%
05/11 - 54.4 / 1.623%
05/10 - 51.5 / 1.603%
05/07 - 47.6 / 1.579%
05/06 - 46.4 / 1.571%
05/05 - 45.8 / 1.568%
05/04 - 49.2 / 1.593%
05/03 - 50.2 / 1.600%
04/30 - 54.0 / 1.628%
04/29 - 55.2 / 1.636%
04/28 - 52.2 / 1.610%
04/27 - 53.9 / 1.623%
04/26 - 47.0 / 1.568%
04/23 - 45.9 / 1.560%
04/22 - 43.3 / 1.540%
04/21 - 45.0 / 1.556%
04/20 - 45.4 / 1.561%
04/19 - 50.2 / 1.606%
04/16 - 47.4 / 1.582%
04/15 - 47.0 / 1.578%
04/14 - 52.7 / 1.633%
04/13 - 51.0 / 1.616%
04/12 - 56.7 / 1.668%
04/09 - 56.1 / 1.660%
04/08 - 52.5 / 1.621%
04/07 - 58.5 / 1.675%
04/06 - 57.1 / 1.658%
04/05 - 62.3 / 1.702%
04/01 - 60.0 / 1.672%
03/31 - 69.3 / 1.742%
03/30 - 66.9 / 1.706%
03/29 - 67.3 / 1.710%
03/26 - 65.2 / 1.678%
03/25 - 62.2 / 1.636%
03/24 - 60.3 / 1.610%
03/23 - 61.7 / 1.622%
03/22 - 70.9 / 1.696%
03/19 - 74.6 / 1.723%
03/18 - 74.0 / 1.710%
03/17 - 70.7 / 1.645%
03/16 - 69.3 / 1.620%
03/15 - 68.5 / 1.606%
03/12 - 70.9 / 1.626%
03/11 - 66.1 / 1.539%
03/10 - 64.9 / 1.520%
03/09 - 65.9 / 1.528%
03/08 - 73.4 / 1.592%
03/05 - 72.3 / 1.568%
03/04 - 72.2 / 1.566%
03/03 - 68.3 / 1.483%
03/02 - 63.0 / 1.393%
03/01 - 65.9 / 1.419%
02/26 - 65.3 / 1.407%
02/25 - 79.9 / 1.523%
02/24 - 72.7 / 1.377%
02/23 - 70.4 / 1.343%
02/22 - 74.3 / 1.366%
02/19 - 72.6 / 1.339%
02/18 - 69.8 / 1.296%
02/17 - 68.1 / 1.272%
02/16 - 75.4 / 1.316%
02/12 - 67.6 / 1.211%
02/11 - 63.0 / 1.166%
02/10 - 57.8 / 1.123%
02/09 - 64.9 / 1.159%
02/08 - 67.7 / 1.171%
02/05 - 67.1 / 1.165%
02/04 - 64.5 / 1.141%
02/03 - 64.3 / 1.139%
02/02 - 59.7 / 1.098%
02/01 - 57.6 / 1.081%
01/29 - 57.2 / 1.078%
01/28 - 53.2 / 1.047%
01/27 - 49.2 / 1.018%
01/26 - 51.7 / 1.036%
01/25 - 51.2 / 1.031%
01/22 - 59.5 / 1.087%
01/21 - 63.0 / 1.107%
01/20 - 60.2 / 1.081%
01/19 - 61.6 / 1.089%
01/15 - 61.1 / 1.084%
01/14 - 68.5 / 1.130%
01/13 - 64.9 / 1.084%
01/12 - 73.2 / 1.130%
01/11 - 76.7 / 1.147%
01/08 - 74.7 / 1.117%
01/07 - 72.0 / 1.081%
01/06 - 68.3 / 1.038%
01/05 - 58.6 / 0.957%
01/04 - 51.1 / 0.914%
12/31 - 51.4 / 0.916%
12/30 - 53.1 / 0.925%
12/29 - 55.9 / 0.939%
12/28 - 53.7 / 0.925%
12/24 - 53.8 / 0.926%
12/23 - 57.2 / 0.945%
12/22 - 53.4 / 0.918%
12/21 - 56.4 / 0.935%
12/18 - 58.8 / 0.949%
12/17 - 56.9 / 0.934%
12/16 - 54.9 / 0.918%
12/15 - 53.8 / 0.910%
12/14 - 51.9 / 0.894%
12/11 - 52.4 / 0.898%
12/10 - 53.7 / 0.908%
12/09 - 57.4 / 0.937%
12/08 - 55.7 / 0.920%
12/07 - 56.3 / 0.924%
12/04 - 61.7 / 0.968%
12/03 - 56.2 / 0.907%
12/02 - 60.1 / 0.937%
12/01 - 59.3 / 0.928%
11/30 - 50.4 / 0.841%
11/27 - 50.2 / 0.839%
11/25 - 55.4 / 0.882%
11/24 - 55.3 / 0.881%
11/23 - 52.8 / 0.855%
11/20 - 49.7 / 0.825%
11/19 - 50.2 / 0.830%
11/18 - 54.4 / 0.871%
11/17 - 53.3 / 0.859%
11/16 - 58.5 / 0.908%
11/13 - 57.7 / 0.898%
11/12 - 56.5 / 0.882%
11/10 - 65.1 / 0.961%
11/09 - 62.6 / 0.924%
11/06 - 54.2 / 0.820%
11/05 - 48.4 / 0.764%
11/04 - 48.4 / 0.765%
11/03 - 65.9 / 0.900%
11/02 - 60.5 / 0.845%
10/30 - 65.7 / 0.875%
10/29 - 60.3 / 0.824%
10/28 - 53.4 / 0.773%
10/27 - 52.9 / 0.769%
10/26 - 58.7 / 0.803%
10/23 - 67.0 / 0.844%
10/22 - 70.0 / 0.857%
10/21 - 66.6 / 0.824%
10/20 - 62.0 / 0.787%
10/19 - 59.8 / 0.771%
10/16 - 56.3 / 0.746%
10/15 - 54.2 / 0.733%
10/14 - 53.2 / 0.726%
10/13 - 53.5 / 0.728%
10/09 - 62.2 / 0.776%
10/08 - 64.1 / 0.786%
10/07 - 64.5 / 0.788%
10/06 - 58.5 / 0.736%
10/05 - 68.1 / 0.783%
10/02 - 56.6 / 0.702%
10/01 - 52.0 / 0.679%
09/30 - 53.3 / 0.685%
09/29 - 45.7 / 0.650%
09/28 - 46.4 / 0.654%
09/25 - 46.9 / 0.656%
09/24 - 49.2 / 0.668%
09/23 - 50.1 / 0.673%
09/22 - 49.8 / 0.672%
09/21 - 49.0 / 0.667%
09/18 - 53.8 / 0.695%
09/17 - 53.0 / 0.690%
09/16 - 54.5 / 0.699%
09/15 - 51.9 / 0.681%
09/14 - 51.0 / 0.674%
09/11 - 50.0 / 0.667%
09/10 - 51.5 / 0.678%
09/09 - 54.7 / 0.702%
09/08 - 52.2 / 0.680%
09/04 - 57.5 / 0.719%
09/03 - 46.8 / 0.636%
09/02 - 48.7 / 0.649%
09/01 - 51.5 / 0.670%
08/31 - 56.9 / 0.706%
08/28 - 59.8 / 0.724%
08/27 - 64.9 / 0.753%
08/26 - 57.7 / 0.689%
08/25 - 57.1 / 0.684%
08/24 - 53.2 / 0.655%
08/21 - 49.6 / 0.630%
08/20 - 52.9 / 0.652%
08/19 - 57.8 / 0.682%
08/18 - 56.3 / 0.670%
08/17 - 59.5 / 0.689%
08/14 - 63.1 / 0.710%
08/13 - 65.1 / 0.722%
08/12 - 60.5 / 0.676%
08/11 - 56.5 / 0.642%
08/10 - 47.1 / 0.577%
08/07 - 45.0 / 0.565%
08/06 - 40.1 / 0.537%
08/05 - 41.6 / 0.549%
08/04 - 33.5 / 0.508%
08/03 - 39.4 / 0.556%
07/31 - 33.4 / 0.529%
07/30 - 35.7 / 0.548%
07/29 - 39.4 / 0.576%
07/28 - 40.0 / 0.580%
07/27 - 45.3 / 0.616%
07/24 - 39.9 / 0.590%
07/23 - 37.5 / 0.579%
07/22 - 40.2 / 0.599%
07/21 - 40.7 / 0.602%
07/20 - 42.0 / 0.612%
07/17 - 44.1 / 0.627%
07/16 - 42.4 / 0.618%
07/15 - 44.1 / 0.631%
07/14 - 43.0 / 0.624%
07/13 - 42.3 / 0.619%
07/10 - 45.3 / 0.646%
07/09 - 40.7 / 0.614%
07/08 - 46.5 / 0.665%
07/07 - 42.8 / 0.641%
07/06 - 47.4 / 0.678%
07/02 - 46.3 / 0.670%
07/01 - 47.0 / 0.677%
06/30 - 44.4 / 0.657%
06/29 - 39.9 / 0.624%
06/26 - 41.6 / 0.642%
06/25 - 46.2 / 0.686%
06/24 - 45.4 / 0.680%
06/23 - 49.0 / 0.713%
06/22 - 48.6 / 0.709%
06/19 - 47.0 / 0.695%
06/18 - 48.4 / 0.709%
06/17 - 51.2 / 0.739%
06/16 - 52.7 / 0.754%
06/15 - 49.9 / 0.722%
06/12 - 48.3 / 0.705%
06/11 - 45.2 / 0.671%
06/10 - 49.9 / 0.728%
06/09 - 59.7 / 0.826%
06/08 - 65.9 / 0.876%
06/05 - 68.5 / 0.896%
06/04 - 63.8 / 0.825%
06/03 - 57.2 / 0.747%
06/02 - 50.6 / 0.686%
06/01 - 47.4 / 0.660%
05/29 - 46.6 / 0.653%
05/28 - 50.9 / 0.692%
05/27 - 49.9 / 0.683%
05/26 - 51.5 / 0.698%
05/22 - 47.5 / 0.660%
05/21 - 48.7 / 0.673%
05/20 - 49.5 / 0.681%
05/19 - 50.8 / 0.696%
05/18 - 53.7 / 0.727%
05/15 - 46.3 / 0.644%



Highs & Lows
08/04/20 - 33.5 / 0.51%
03/27/19 - 26.4 / 2.37%
12/07/18 - 19.4 / 2.85%
11/08/18 - 63.9 / 3.24%
08/01/18 - 65.1 / 3.01%
02/21/18 - 69.7 / 2.95%
02/02/18 - 77.6 / 2.84%
10/26/17 - 68.6 / 2.46%
06/02/17 - 33.6 / 2.16%
11/18/16 - 82.4 / 2.36%
07/06/16 - 30.3 / 1.37%
02/11/16 - 21.9 / 1.66%
11/10/15 - 69.7 / 2.34%
08/24/15 - 33.6 / 2.00%
06/10/15 - 68.0 / 2.49%
05/06/15 - 73.4 / 2.24%
01/30/15 - 31.1 / 1.64%
10/15/14 - 22.7 / 2.14%
09/12/14 - 69.7 / 2.61%
05/28/14 - 32.8 / 2.44%
02/03/14 - 29.5 / 2.58%
12/31/13 - 67.8 / 3.03%
09/05/13 - 69.0 / 3.00%
06/24/13 - 79.1 / 2.59%
05/28/13 - 72.7 / 2.17%
05/02/13 - 31.7 / 1.63%
03/11/13 - 64.0 / 2.06%
08/16/12 - 71.0 / 1.81%
07/24/12 - 32.5 / 1.39%
06/01/12 - 20.5 / 1.45%
05/17/12 - 25.4 / 1.70%
03/19/12 - 76.5 / 2.38%