Fed Funds Probabilities



Week of April 22, 2018

The Target rate is currently 2.50%

Sep18 to 2.25% = 48%
to 2.75% = 0%

Dec18 to 2.25% = 63%
to 2.75% = 0%




Relative Strength Index

Below is the daily 10-year Treasury relative strength index over the last 14 trading days. A reading of 65 is considered an oversold market; a reading of 35 is an overbought market.



04/24 - 47.0 / 2.52%
04/23 - 52.3 / 2.57%
04/22 - 55.3 / 2.59%
04/18 - 52.3 / 2.56%
04/17 - 56.5 / 2.60%
04/16 - 56.2 / 2.59%
04/15 - 52.5 / 2.56%
04/12 - 53.8 / 2.57%
04/11 - 46.4 / 2.50%
04/10 - 42.5 / 2.47%
04/09 - 46.0 / 2.50%
04/08 - 48.2 / 2.52%
04/05 - 45.1 / 2.50%
04/04 - 47.0 / 2.52%
04/03 - 47.9 / 2.53%
04/02 - 42.4 / 2.48%
04/01 - 44.7 / 2.50%
03/29 - 32.2 / 2.41%
03/28 - 30.8 / 2.40%
03/27 - 26.4 / 2.37%
03/26 - 29.9 / 2.42%
03/25 - 26.1 / 2.40%
03/22 - 28.5 / 2.44%
03/21 - 36.1 / 2.54%
03/20 - 34.2 / 2.53%
03/19 - 43.1 / 2.61%
03/18 - 41.8 / 2.61%
03/15 - 39.2 / 2.59%
03/14 - 44.0 / 2.63%
03/13 - 42.6 / 2.62%
03/12 - 39.5 / 2.60%
03/11 - 43.7 / 2.64%
03/08 - 42.2 / 2.63%
03/07 - 43.2 / 2.64%
03/06 - 49.5 / 2.69%
03/05 - 52.8 / 2.72%
03/04 - 53.4 / 2.72%
03/01 - 57.6 / 2.76%
02/28 - 53.4 / 2.72%
02/27 - 49.4 / 2.68%
02/26 - 43.1 / 2.64%
02/25 - 46.2 / 2.66%
02/22 - 44.8 / 2.65%
02/21 - 49.5 / 2.69%
02/20 - 42.8 / 2.65%
02/19 - 41.2 / 2.64%
02/15 - 44.3 / 2.66%
02/14 - 43.1 / 2.66%
02/13 - 48.5 / 2.70%
02/12 - 46.7 / 2.69%
02/11 - 42.1 / 2.66%
02/08 - 39.4 / 2.64%
02/07 - 41.5 / 2.66%
02/06 - 45.3 / 2.70%
02/05 - 45.7 / 2.70%
02/04 - 48.3 / 2.72%
02/01 - 43.7 / 2.69%
01/31 - 36.3 / 2.63%
01/30 - 40.6 / 2.68%
01/29 - 43.9 / 2.71%
01/28 - 47.8 / 2.75%
01/25 - 49.3 / 2.76%
01/24 - 44.0 / 2.72%
01/23 - 46.7 / 2.74%
01/22 - 46.4 / 2.74%
01/18 - 51.3 / 2.79%
01/17 - 47.5 / 2.75%
01/16 - 44.0 / 2.72%
01/15 - 42.8 / 2.71%
01/14 - 41.7 / 2.70%
01/11 - 41.5 / 2.70%
01/10 - 44.8 / 2.74%
01/09 - 44.4 / 2.75%
01/08 - 42.8 / 2.73%
01/07 - 39.5 / 2.70%
01/04 - 36.5 / 2.67%
01/03 - 21.8 / 2.55%
01/02 - 25.0 / 2.62%
12/31 - 28.6 / 2.69%
12/28 - 30.8 / 2.72%
12/27 - 34.3 / 2.76%
12/26 - 37.7 / 2.81%
12/24 - 26.4 / 2.74%
12/21 - 30.3 / 2.79%
12/20 - 31.5 / 2.81%
12/19 - 21.3 / 2.76%
12/18 - 26.6 / 2.83%
12/17 - 29.0 / 2.86%
12/14 - 32.5 / 2.89%
12/13 - 35.1 / 2.91%
12/12 - 34.3 / 2.91%
12/11 - 27.5 / 2.88%
12/10 - 22.4 / 2.86%
12/07 - 19.3 / 2.85%
12/06 - 22.7 / 2.90%
12/05 - 24.1 / 2.91%
12/04 - 24.1 / 2.91%
12/03 - 29.1 / 2.97%
11/30 - 31.0 / 2.99%
11/29 - 36.2 / 3.03%
11/28 - 40.4 / 3.06%
11/27 - 40.0 / 3.06%
11/26 - 39.2 / 3.05%
11/23 - 36.3 / 3.04%
11/21 - 39.2 / 3.06%
11/20 - 39.2 / 3.06%
11/19 - 39.2 / 3.06%
11/16 - 41.4 / 3.06%
11/15 - 44.7 / 3.11%
11/14 - 46.6 / 3.13%
11/13 - 48.5 / 3.14%
11/09 - 54.4 / 3.18%
11/08 - 63.9 / 3.24%
11/07 - 63.7 / 3.24%
11/06 - 62.9 / 3.23%
11/05 - 60.2 / 3.20%
11/02 - 62.0 / 3.21%
11/01 - 52.3 / 3.13%



Highs & Lows
03/27/19 - 26.4 / 2.37%
12/07/18 - 19.4 / 2.85%
11/08/18 - 63.9 / 3.24%
08/01/18 - 65.1 / 3.01%
02/21/18 - 69.7 / 2.95%
02/02/18 - 77.6 / 2.84%
10/26/17 - 68.6 / 2.46%
06/02/17 - 33.6 / 2.16%
11/18/16 - 82.4 / 2.36%
07/06/16 - 30.3 / 1.37%
02/11/16 - 21.9 / 1.66%
11/10/15 - 69.7 / 2.34%
08/24/15 - 33.6 / 2.00%
06/10/15 - 68.0 / 2.49%
05/06/15 - 73.4 / 2.24%
01/30/15 - 31.1 / 1.64%
10/15/14 - 22.7 / 2.14%
09/12/14 - 69.7 / 2.61%
05/28/14 - 32.8 / 2.44%
02/03/14 - 29.5 / 2.58%
12/31/13 - 67.8 / 3.03%
09/05/13 - 69.0 / 3.00%
06/24/13 - 79.1 / 2.59%
05/28/13 - 72.7 / 2.17%
05/02/13 - 31.7 / 1.63%
03/11/13 - 64.0 / 2.06%
08/16/12 - 71.0 / 1.81%
07/24/12 - 32.5 / 1.39%
06/01/12 - 20.5 / 1.45%
05/17/12 - 25.4 / 1.70%
03/19/12 - 76.5 / 2.38%



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